Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 10.817279 12.477541 14.253394 16.288106 18.548641 20.976728 23.775568
2025-05-25 8.564486 10.704222 13.135654 16.082409 19.535333 23.431186 28.136067
2025-06-01 7.058730 9.453415 12.317770 15.953986 20.401598 25.617806 32.147512
2025-06-08 5.833133 8.327010 11.452719 15.588028 20.838909 27.204531 35.417365
2025-06-15 5.078056 7.672950 11.061607 15.707121 21.795416 29.382369 39.416382
2025-06-22 4.393191 7.012179 10.568834 15.609730 22.411491 31.102196 42.854121
2025-06-29 3.920815 6.580657 10.323221 15.787341 23.351183 33.227453 46.839416
2025-07-06 3.525945 6.208872 10.112619 15.971640 24.274921 35.332283 50.835495
2025-07-13 3.264904 6.005016 10.113818 16.433245 25.574977 37.958287 55.578012
2025-07-20 2.997077 5.756894 10.020096 16.735110 26.643442 40.285561 59.969073
2025-07-27 2.689243 5.406434 9.735535 16.723145 27.243104 41.966560 63.508239
2025-08-03 2.286589 4.846250 9.071441 16.082429 26.877297 42.261800 65.117437
2025-08-10 2.010173 4.476789 8.684383 15.844766 27.095545 43.391858 67.932941
2025-08-17 1.747722 4.098800 8.247573 15.491615 27.108414 44.208987 70.309429
2025-08-24 1.544628 3.806833 7.929292 15.302626 27.352206 45.354888 73.170686
2025-08-31 1.337672 3.478327 7.515565 14.921677 27.265255 45.991806 75.291726
2025-09-07 1.221217 3.321010 7.395175 15.025048 27.945204 47.788558 79.148002
2025-09-14 1.091437 3.116783 7.168736 14.926093 28.284530 49.066949 82.255095
2025-09-21 1.006439 3.000783 7.098896 15.095318 29.064686 51.036758 86.435767
2025-09-28 0.930080 2.894154 7.037315 15.272210 29.858427 53.042160 90.708414
2025-10-05 0.887320 2.862512 7.121554 15.717221 31.116604 55.803367 96.187117
2025-10-12 0.832716 2.794002 7.124434 16.008367 32.117733 58.177667 101.116301
2025-10-19 0.755706 2.656703 6.972540 15.996743 32.590525 59.714851 104.777500